That’s a proposition.
The idea that a stream-enterer has not realized the third noble truth as a direct experience of cessation of the upadanakhanda needs to be subatantiated well because there are explicit text like this
Those who realized the Noble Truths well taught by him who is profound in wisdom (the Buddha), even though they may be exceedingly heedless, they will not take an eighth existence (in the realm of sense spheres).
You have provided a texts, let’s look
This can & should read as a direct experience of cessation. There is a qualifier which reveals it
apart from faith, preference, oral tradition, reasoned contemplation, or acceptance of a view after consideration i know and see
This cross references with how knowing & seeing is talked about
"When this was said, he replied to me, ‘You may stay here, my friend. This doctrine is such that a wise person can soon enter & dwell in his own teacher’s knowledge, having realized it for himself through direct knowledge.’
"It was not long before I quickly learned the doctrine. As far as mere lip-reciting & repetition, I could speak the words of knowledge, the words of the elders, and I could affirm that I knew & saw — I, along with others.
This is a type of knowing & seeing but not a direct realization, which comes next
"I thought: ‘It isn’t through mere conviction alone that Alara Kalama declares, “I have entered & dwell in this Dhamma, having realized it for myself through direct knowledge.” Certainly he dwells knowing & seeing this Dhamma.’ So I went to him and said, ‘To what extent do you declare that you have entered & dwell in this Dhamma?’ When this was said, he declared the dimension of nothingness.
"I thought: ‘Not only does Alara Kalama have conviction, persistence, mindfulness, concentration, & discernment. I, too, have conviction, persistence, mindfulness, concentration, & discernment. What if I were to endeavor to realize for myself the Dhamma that Alara Kalama declares he has entered & dwells in, having realized it for himself through direct knowledge.’ So it was not long before I quickly entered & dwelled in that Dhamma, having realized it for myself through direct knowledge.
And so it would suggest that the qualifier
apart from faith, preference, oral tradition, reasoned contemplation, or acceptance of a view after consideration i know and see
In
apart from faith, preference, oral tradition, reasoned contemplation, or acceptance of a view after consideration, i know and see that ‘bhavanirodho nibbānan’”ti.the cessation of continued existence is extinguishment.
Does point to a knowledge & vision of direct realization of the cessation of aggregates.
Now the analogy therein
then along comes a person struggling in the oppressive heat, weary, thirsty, and parched. they’d know that there was water, but they couldn’t physically touch it. in the same way, i have truly seen clearly with right wisdom that the cessation of continued existence is extinguishment. Yet i am not a perfected one.
In drawing out the meaning i’d assert
That the goal of the training is a complete removal of taints, arahantship, and that this is the designation of Nibbana, not the attainment of samadhi by which this comes about.
And so i don’t read the analogy as you do
I read
- Knowing that there is water as analogy for having direct experience of the immediacy which removes fetters and having some fetters removed by this direct knowledge.
- Not being able to physically touch it as analogy for not having removed all taints.